Energy Market Risk Analysis – mid November 2011

Modest price bounce

UK power and gas prices have witnessed a modest general bounce over the last fortnight, helped by a drop in temperatures, reductions in supply and oil prices rising above $115/barrel. Short-term prices have continued to hold at the higher levels while longer–term prices have started retracing again.

Short-term and longer-term gas prices are higher over the last fortnight, helped by colder weather boosting demand and rising oil prices respectively. But mid-term prices, from December through to next Summer, are weaker, with prices for the remainder of this winter particularly weak.

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Energy price shift between 01 November 2011 and 17 November 2011

Elec: +0.62%

Gas: +0.77%

Coal: +1.19%

Oil: +3.65%
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