Energy Market Risk Analysis – mid October 2011

Bank bailout bolsters

UK power Annual electricity prices are slightly down on where they were at the start of the month, having dropped in the first week as oil slumped beneath $100/barrel, only to bounce in the second week as European bank bailout plans boosted global financial and commodities markets.

Short-term (Day-ahead) gas prices have surged by 45% over the last fortnight – as supply has tightened markedly, while longer term levels have generally eased – after being buffeted up and down again by the changing winds of economic sentiment.

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Energy price shift between 04 October 2011 and 19 October 2011

Elec: -0.53%

Gas: +0.2%

Coal: -2.73%

Oil: +7.08%
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